«Черный лебедь»: влияние крайне маловероятных событий

Nasim Nicholas Taleb's phenomenal international bestseller The Black Swan: Impact of the Highly Improbable shows how to stop trying to predict everything - and advantage of uncertainty. What have invention of wheel, Pompeii, Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter и интернет got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us о probability? Каким образом вы не должны ходить для шоссе или получать newspaper? Эта kniha є все про Black Swans: ряд Events, що під нашим життям, від bestsellers до світових disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them.